Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 300.090256 340.508518 385.732044 440.339891 504.833412 578.995059 671.329317
2025-01-26 248.774921 303.618292 370.873399 460.515300 578.540346 731.034159 946.990735
2025-02-02 224.783999 287.940275 370.331000 487.968218 655.468689 891.590304 1261.349679
2025-02-09 199.519623 264.967630 354.425319 489.118925 693.167401 1001.958849 1528.289395
2025-02-16 176.455307 241.077601 332.735411 476.787855 706.445184 1075.418984 1752.365501
2025-02-23 158.869572 222.419923 315.499205 467.419878 720.966211 1151.243307 1997.176129
2025-03-02 149.408378 214.322290 312.509014 479.042682 770.441905 1294.336403 2404.365504
2025-03-09 138.744351 203.118054 303.165598 478.515760 798.195539 1403.026250 2774.613980
2025-03-16 127.632947 190.056427 289.310113 468.187617 806.030031 1474.442400 3085.397971
2025-03-23 120.110821 181.958307 282.601915 469.255052 834.987100 1593.594625 3546.454238
2025-03-30 111.524726 171.349059 270.576074 459.037130 839.913976 1662.483730 3905.461052
2025-04-06 105.329087 164.178825 263.721408 457.505606 862.043334 1774.031449 4421.319043
2025-04-13 96.278750 151.684556 246.779857 435.367823 838.853500 1778.968274 4645.014093
2025-04-20 94.248490 151.122613 251.123863 455.669703 911.841753 2036.570437 5773.922116
2025-04-27 93.196510 152.137654 258.367752 482.727205 1005.401832 2374.739622 7380.851040
2025-05-04 88.924822 147.016975 253.574650 483.865647 1037.673306 2555.368744 8523.921822
2025-05-11 83.472979 139.342289 243.209155 471.697384 1034.907232 2634.118306 9304.832048
2025-05-18 78.825897 132.842348 234.607388 462.452641 1038.167331 2732.889388 10247.673878
2025-05-25 76.769069 131.045762 235.156007 473.922487 1098.183786 3030.832701 12387.047942
2025-06-01 73.635980 126.977401 230.763003 473.402518 1125.532476 3229.780088 14201.148108
2025-06-08 69.807799 121.324299 222.675708 463.210303 1123.897444 3327.415550 15535.139465
2025-06-15 67.304274 118.097444 219.388604 464.263721 1155.270544 3557.691723 17949.393113
2025-06-22 63.986631 113.065509 211.916921 454.179658 1151.698412 3653.996036 19577.834219